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Shortsightedness


Consider the following points of view, held by some of history's
best and brightest visionaries. Never underestimate the impossible.

What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?

The Quarterly Review
England, March 1825



Men might as well project a voyage to the Moon as attempt to employ steam navigation against the stormy North Atlantic Ocean.

Dr. Dionysus Lardner
Professor of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy
University College, London, 1838



[W]hen the Paris Exhibition closes electric light will close with it and no more will be heard of.

Erasmus Wilson
Professor at Oxford University, 1878



Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.

Lord Kelvin
British mathematician and physicist, 1895



Radio has no future.

Lord Kelvin
British mathematician and physicist, 1897



That the automobile has practically reached the limit of its development is suggested by the fact that during the past year no improvements of a radical nature have been introduced.

Scientific American
January 2, 1909



The foolish idea of shooting at the moon is an example of the absurd length to which vicious specialization will carry scientists working in thought-tight compartments.


A.W. Bickerton
Professor of Physics and Chemistry
Canterbury College, New Zealand, 1926



There is not the slightest indication that [nuclear energy] will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.

Albert Einstein, 1932



I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.

Thomas Watson
Chairman of IBM, 1943



Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 19,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps only weigh 1.5 tons.

Popular Mechanics
March, 1949